Good evening Coastal Carolinas! We have a very unremarkable weather pattern for the next several days... actually, right through next week!
Our stoplights are all green across the boards. It's really just a temperature forecast.
The ONLY interesting "thing" is a tiny ribbon of moisture that may bring a low overcast for a few hours over the coastal areas. The image below is a forecast sounding for Southport, N.C., for this evening. In fact, by the time you read this post, this might be a thing of the past.
A dry cold front will whisk across the region late Saturday evening. A southwesterly flow ahead of the front will bring mild temperatures to southeast NC... maybe even pushing 70 in some spots.
The front will move off the coast Sunday with cooler temperatures in its wake. Temperatures Sunday afternoon will struggle to reach 60, and low temperatures when you set off for work and school Monday will be in the lower 30s.
So... for tonight... I am going with variably cloudy skies for the overnight, with lows generally in the mid 30s. Some of the typically cooler spots may dip a little cooler, and of course along the coast, a bit milder... especially in areas that have more cloudiness.
Saturday looks like a real winner across southeast NC and northeast SC, with lots of sunshine and highs in the upper 60s... again, some areas may touch 70 tomorrow afternoon. Get out and enjoy it ®!
Saturday night looks variably cloudy once again with that frontal passage. The cold advection won't really begin to push in until Sunday morning, so I'm going with minimum temperatures in the mid 40s. Sunday will again feature lots of sunshine, but much cooler temperatures with highs around 60.
My extended forecast is high-and-dry. We'll see a warming trend through the week, with highs around 70 by Thursday. Notice - I did put a 10% chance of precipitation down for Wednesday as there is some indication in the modeling that there may be some atmospheric "convergence" along the coast. That's a soft call at this point and in reality there just may be a bit more cloudiness along the coast than anything else.
Click/tap on the graphics to enlarge.
LONG TERM: Weather patterns are going to be set up that cold air is going to be hard to come by for the eastern two-thirds of the country. If you're looking for snow and cold, you'll have to go well north into Canada for that. The Climate Prediction Center graphics show that temperatures should run above normal and precipitation below normal through December 8.
Explaining these graphics: These graphics show the PERCENT CHANCE that temperatures and precipitation will be above or below normal. They do NOT show "how much" above or below normal, just the percent possibility... i.e., a 60% chance of above-normal temperatures, or an 80% chance of below-normal precipitation. Click or tap on each graphic to enlarge.
Ok folks, that's it for tonight's update. I hope you have a wonderful weekend! Be safe if you're out traveling. If you have any questions or comments, hit me up on my Facebook page!