Good evening! We'll have a cool, gray, cloudy, raw, damp day on Saturday with temperatures running some 25 to 30 degrees cooler than what we had Friday. High temperature at my place in Whiteville was 83 degrees, about 25 degrees above the seasonal average. We'll have more beautiful spring-like warmth next week, but first we have to deal with Saturday.
click or tap on the images to enlarge
Saturday's weather will feature an easterly wind off the Atlantic ocean bringing lots of clouds and occasional areas of light rain and drizzle. Not looking at an all-day rain, and not looking at significant rainfall amounts, but it'll be just enough to require use of the windshield wipers every once in a while, and require the use of headlights if you're doing any traveling. The area of low pressure shown by early Saturday afternoon over northern Georgia/extreme SW North Carolina will move to just north of Virginia Beach by tomorrow evening, and then well off to the north and east by Sunday morning. The area of organized, heavier rain will move north through Virginia and not impact southeast NC or northeast SC.
IMPACTS: Rainfall -- light, spotty, intermittent, nuisance-type. No significant impacts.
Here's a look at forecast high temperatures the next few days, courtesy of NOAA (click to enlarge).
EXTENDED OUTLOOK: A subtropical ridge will be firmly in control through much of the upcoming work week. A moist flow of southerly air will crank our temperatures well above the seasonal averages. There is a chance of some showers on Washington's Birthday (Monday, aka "President's Day"), as a warm front lifts south to north over the area. This opens the doors to the dramatic warm-up for the middle of the week. The next chance for showers comes Thursday as a cold front begins to approach from the north.
GET OUT AND ENJOY IT!!
Our temperatures will take a wild ride over the next few days, but a subtropical ridge with a moist, southerly flow of air will pump our temperatures to well above seasonal norms for most of next week.
Tomorrow will be breezy and unseasonably warm... in fact, some local records may fall. I think most all of us will get up into the 80s tomorrow on southwesterly winds gusting up to 30 mph at times. Skies will feature a mix of clouds and sunshine for MOST of the day. A cold front will drop down from the north late in the afternoon through the evening, and a line of showers can be expected with this frontal passage. Winds will shift around from the north 10-15 mph with gusts into the 20s behind the front with a pretty sharp temperature drop.
SCHOOLDAY-- The morning bus stop will feature dry conditions with partly cloudy skies. There will be some patchy fog, most prevalent as you get closer to the coast, with locally dense beach fog possible. Temperatures will be a few degrees either side of 60 inland and at the coast. Click or tap on the graphics to enlarge.
As mentioned, a cold front will drop down from the north during the late afternoon / early evening hours on Friday. This will bring with it a line of showers and a wind shift. While this will be quite the cold front passage, overall instability parameters are limited so thunder doesn't appear to be an issue with this one.
For Saturday, we will experience a very sudden return to ... well ... actually relatively seasonable temps, but a high pressure "wedge" very common for springtime in NC will keep a northeast wind flow off the Atlantic. This northeast wind flow will keep lots of clouds and occasional areas of light rain and drizzle over the entire region through the day. Quite the significant change from Friday!
Our front lifts back to the north over the state Saturday night into Sunday bringing us a return to warmer temperatures for Sunday.
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Here are your forecast graphics for southeast NC and northeast SC. Warm temperatures under variably cloudy skies will persist for at least the first half of next week... possibly even longer.